East River Notes
CDMO

How do CDMOs work?

Who actually manufactures the drugs, and why are more drugs getting outsourced?

Who really makes the world's medicines

  • A CDMO manufactures drugs on behalf of biopharma companies.
  • Building a drug factory costs hundreds of millions of dollars upfront and takes years, and running one is expensive.
  • Drug manufacturing is increasingly outsourced – because modern medicines are harder to make and because companies can focus on what they do best: inventing and selling drugs.
  • This is not simply outsourcing to a cheaper region. It is a strategic partnership that allows each to focus on their core competencies.
  • The result is a symbiotic system that underpins the innovation, development, and manufacturing of modern medicine.

The simple version

CDMOs build and operate factories that make medicines, which enables the pharma companies to focus on what they do best.

What exactly is a CDMO?

A CDMO – contract development and manufacturing organization – figures out how to make a drug at scale, then makes it.

The first part is development – design a repeatable process that makes the drug.

The second part is manufacturing – make the drug, from preclinical and clinical trials to commercial supply.

Exhibit 1Development (CDO) and manufacturing (CMO).
A CDMO box at the top splits into two matching boxes below: a development arm listing lab work from cell-line development to scale-up, and a manufacturing arm listing batches from preclinical through commercial supply. CDMO develops and makes drugs CDO · Development Cell-line development Process development Formulation Analytical methods Scale-up & validation CMO · Manufacturing Preclinical batches Phase I–III trial material Validation batches Fill-finish into vials Commercial supply, for years * In addition, note that some CDMOs are integrated with CROs – which help run clinical trials for biopharma companies.
Source: East River Notes, from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information.

In the past, when most medicines were produced by relatively simple chemical processes, pharma companies typically used CMOs either as a temporary solution while they scaled up their own manufacturing, or as a way to shift the risk of investing in manufacturing infrastructure and preserve their resources.

However, as medicines and manufacturing processes have become much more complex (see Bioprocessing), the industry dynamics have changed.

Nowadays, biopharma companies engage CDMOs earlier in the product cycle. CDMOs are often involved in developing the processes to mass-manufacture the drugs, including cell-line development, formulation, and scale-up. Because CDMOs have the scale and experience of working with many customers, they are often at the cutting edge of manufacturing technology and know-how.

Exhibit 2A CDMO can make a drug at every stage of its life.
A thick arrow runs through the stages of a drug's life, the commercial stage drawn far longer than every trial stage combined. A dashed outline marks that stretch and the CDMO services aligned beneath it. Drug timeline Discovery Preclinical Phase I/II Phase III Commercial (years / decades) CDMO services Process & cell-line development Clinical-scale batches, scale-up & validation Commercial supply & filling into vials Most of the drug production happens in the commercial phase
Source: East River Notes, from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information. Illustrative figures; actual timeline and service products may vary.

Why would a company hand off making its own product?

For three main reasons – capital risk, specialist capability, and strategic focus.

Framework · why a drug company outsources

The capital risk. A factory costs hundreds of millions and takes years, committed upfront before knowing if the drug works or its demand.

The capability. A specialist making many products is able to invest in the latest cutting-edge technology and develop strong expertise.

The focus. The biopharma company can concentrate on research & development, instead of building and operating manufacturing infrastructure.

The capital risk. A drug factory costs hundreds of millions of dollars, sometimes billions, takes years to build, and requires investments long before anyone knows whether the drug will be approved. Outsourcing turns that up-front bet into a cost paid per batch. A CDMO works with many customers at once, which spreads product-specific risk and lets it keep building capacity that no single drug company could justify on its own.

The capability. A CDMO develops and makes products for many customers at once, so it sees more processes, more kinds of medicine, and more regulatory cycles than a typical biopharma company. The newest process technology and the deepest know-how therefore tend to sit with the specialist that is working with the top companies in the industry. It shows up as speed too: a plant that has run this kind of process before helps a drug launch sooner. In healthcare, a few months could be the difference between the first mover and being late to market.

The focus. Running a factory is not just capital intensive, but also time intensive. Instead of spending its money and attention on manufacturing, the company can focus on inventing new and better medicine.

Case study · breweries and electricity

A century ago, a brewery that wanted electricity had to generate its own power. This required each brewery to spend a lot of time and money on infrastructure. But generating power never made the beer taste any better.

When the electric grid arrived, breweries were able to dedicate their resources to what they do best – making great beers. Breweries switched to paying for electricity as they needed it, and put their money and attention into making better products.

Amazon’s Jeff Bezos used this analogy to explain why companies are better off renting computing (cloud computing via AWS) instead of running their own servers.

The key difference here is that electricity is interchangeable. A drug’s manufacturing process is developed for that one molecule and is written into its approval, so it cannot be swapped the way that a power supplier can.

Is a CDMO just cheaper outsourcing?

No – it is about specialization and scale economics.

When people hear "outsourcing," they often picture offshoring – shipping work to a cheaper country. This is not that. Renting computing power from Amazon AWS or Microsoft Azure is not offshoring; it is handing a specialist the heavy lifting to focus on creating better products in the future. A CDMO is the same – and many of the biggest sit in high-cost places like Switzerland, South Korea, and the United States.

Nor is it a race to the lowest bid. In other subsectors, a contract manufacturing job could go to the lowest cost provider, because the work can be moved or re-bid. Drug manufacturing is different. Once the manufacturing process (including key vendors and products) is written into the approval, switching can take years and require regulatory re-filing – so customers rarely chase the lowest quote. And if they do choose to switch manufacturing, it takes years of planning and work. A customer evaluates a CDMO partner based on capability and capacity, quality and regulatory record, reliability, and speed – with price being one factor among many. The cheapest CDMO is not a good deal, if it risks the quality, launch timing, and reputation.

Why are more drugs made by CDMOs now?

Medicines keep getting harder to make, and drug companies realized that manufacturing was never their real edge.

Contract manufacturing used to be a quiet corner of the industry – spare capacity a drug company rented when its own plants were full. But this changed as biotechnology evolved to be more complex.

A pill's active ingredient is a small molecule, built by chemical synthesis: follow the steps and you get the same molecule anywhere. A biologic is far larger, on the order of a thousand times the size, and too intricate to build by chemistry – it is grown by living cells in tanks called bioreactors. Read our Bioprocessing article to learn more.

Exhibit 3Medicines have grown far larger and more complex.
A small line-drawn ring molecule beside a large folded protein drawn as a cluster of spheres, and a small chemical plant beside a bioreactor. Both pairings carry the same step up in size and capital. Small molecule – a pill Built by chemical synthesis Chemical plant Small, stable, easy to copy Biologic – grown in cells A large, folded protein – far bigger than a pill’s molecule Bioreactor Bigger, harder, far more capital-intensive
Source: East River Notes, from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information. Illustrations not to scale; for reference only.

Manufacturing a biologic drug is much harder and more expensive than making a pill, and not many companies can do it at scale.

But it wasn’t just that medicine got harder to make. It was that biopharma companies realized that they were better off focusing on making better products and outsourcing manufacturing. Software and semiconductor industries reached the same conclusion.

Case study · semiconductor foundries

Before 1987, designing a computer chip meant owning a factory to make it – at a cost of hundreds of millions. Then TSMC built the first "pure-play" foundry: a plant that makes chips for others and designs none of its own. Because it would never compete with them, customers could safely hand over their designs – and that enabled "fabless" firms like Nvidia to focus on innovation and products. The best CDMOs play the same role.

The difference is that although difficult, a chip design can be moved to another factory; a biologic manufacturing process (written into its regulatory approval) is far more difficult, costly, and laborious to switch.

Innovation and manufacturing are increasingly shifting to be two separate businesses.

So how does a CDMO make money?

Fees per batch, earned across many customers – and profitability driven by how well the manufacturing lines are utilized.

The CDMO charges a fee for each batch it makes. Industry estimates put manufacturing at roughly 5 to 20 percent of a drug's sales, depending on the medicine and how complex it is to make.

Manufacturing demand follows the same curve through a drug's timeline: small volumes through development and clinical trials; incrementally higher volume after each phase; and if the drug is approved, substantially higher and more predictable volume.

Exhibit 4Illustrative representation of CDMO economics through a drug's development.
Blocks along a time axis, one per year, height showing volume made. The four trial years are near-invisible slivers; after approval the blocks climb for four years and then hold at many times that height. Crosses mark the gates a drug can fail at. Demand small trial batches development and trials approved, and the plant is named in the drug’s filing Time
Source: East River Notes, from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information. Illustrative; volumes and timelines vary by drug and modality.

Especially as drug manufacturing processes have become more complicated, CDMOs are often engaged earlier during development. The process a CDMO builds for early trials is the process validated at each stage that follows. So the CDMO’s business effectively grows along with the drug product.

The catch: most drugs fail. Only a few make it through testing. Additionally, a biologics factory is very expensive to operate, and most of its cost is fixed, so it costs nearly the same whether it is full or half-empty. Utilization, how full the plant runs, is a decisive factor of profitability. Fill it and margins are high; leave it half-idle and it loses money.

Exhibit 5Illustrative manufacturing economics.
A curve of operating margin against how full a plant runs. It sits below zero to the left of roughly 55 percent, crosses into profit there, and climbs steeply toward high margins near full, so the slope carries the point. 0% margin ~55% – break-even ~85% – 30–40%+ margin high loss Operating margin Utilization
Source: East River Notes, from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information.

This is why there has been a general trend toward consolidation in the CDMO industry. The more products a CDMO serves, the less dependent it is on one drug’s outcome. Because demand is much less predictable before commercial approval, and because biopharma companies are outsourcing earlier than before, it makes even more sense to focus on scale.

What is the impact on biopharma?

It is a symbiotic feedback loop: the drug company and the CDMO each work on what they are best at, reducing risks and increasing benefit for both sides.

Without CDMOs, a drug company runs the risk of sinking billions into a factory for a medicine that might never be approved. Even with multiple products, a manufacturing line is a risky, capital-intensive investment that is highly dependent on the demand and utilization of the plant.

A CDMO makes many companies' medicines at once, so product-specific risks are greatly reduced across a diversified portfolio. The advantage compounds with scale: the more drugs a CDMO makes, the sharper its process know-how gets, and the systems and people it builds carry over from one product to the next. Scale pays for itself too – more customers means more money for better technology and more capacity, which makes the CDMO a better partner for the next drug.

A CDMO diversifies product-specific risks and compounds its advantages with scale.

Takeaways

  • A CDMO makes other companies' medicines. It designs the manufacturing process and runs the plant, so the company on the label does not have to.
  • Outsourcing buys focus, not cheap labor. Companies partner with CDMOs so that they can focus on research & development and go-to-market.
  • Drugs got harder to make. As biotechnology has advanced, so have the size and complexity of drug products, increasing the demand for specialized manufacturing partners.
  • CDMOs enable more biopharma innovation. Partnering with CDMOs can vastly reduce product, capital, and operational risks for the industry – which incentivizes more investments in new drugs.
  • Scale economics benefit both parties. Large CDMOs compound their expertise and technology edge as they scale – generally leading to better economics, higher quality, and faster time-to-market.

One line to remember

Partnering with CDMOs enables both parties to focus on their core competencies, creating a positive feedback loop for the biopharma industry.

General, educational, and informational research only, not tailored to your situation. Nothing here constitutes investment, legal, medical, or other professional advice; an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security; promotional or marketing material; or a recommendation. The author may hold positions in the securities or sectors discussed. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclosures at www.eastrivernotes.com/disclosures.

Notes

The content described here is synthesized from company presentations, filings, and other publicly available information, together with standard scientific and industry literature. Quantitative figures are rounded and estimated. Exhibits and texts are illustrative and are designed to simply explain complex topics. Some technical terms are deliberately simplified for a general reader without changing their underlying meaning. Companies named in the case studies are referenced illustratively. This primer favors durable concepts over point-in-time statistics.

East River Notes